theBaum: Archive for August, 2007

It’s Back: Virtual Capitalism

Who am I to second guess it. Virtualization is hot. In the past week VMWare went public closing at the end of the first day with a $20B market cap and Citrix agreed to buy XenSource for $500M.

WOW! This kind of activity make the bubble days pale in comparison.

I mean okay VMWare, hot company, fast top line revenue growth but also accelerating expenses. In 2006 the company reported revenues of $704M and net income of $87M or 12% of revenue. In 2005 VMWare reported $387M in revenues and net income of $67M or 17%. So revenue was up 82% but net income is declining on higher spending all around. If the company continues to grow revenues again this year at 82% the current $20B market cap means a 28x trailing twelve months revenue and a 15x current run rate revenues.

Compare VMWare to the Bladelogic IPO or the Opsware acquisition by HP and it looks pricey by comparison. But, given the market is so starved for growth stories it kinda makes sense.

Innovation Awards at Deutsche Bank

Yesterday I gave the keynote at the annual Deutsche Bank innovation awards ceremony in London. Once a year DB celebrates the innovators within the bank and awards prizes for the most entrepreneurial, cost reducing and revenue generating new inventions.

What a cool thing to do.

I have to admit speaking to a group like this is a bit different from my usual audiences of Linux geeks, network engineers, security jocks, and application developers. But it was really amazing to see how a global company promotes and rewards all kinds of innovative ideas and projects.

Agile What?

What’s so great about agile software development? Sure engineers think its great. I think it helps them feel empowered. Product managers think its great too, but secretly I think they’re still trying to figure it out. Apparently Oracle thinks it’s great. The company just paid $495 million for Agile Software Corporation (Nasdaq: AGIL), representing a 14% premium.

As a user I just want to know, what’s in it for me?

We just shipped Splunk 3.0. During the past seven months I’ve heard agile, scrum, sprints — all the cool concepts that are part of this revolutionary framework to spur innovation, more efficient product development cycles and a tighter loop with customers. So why then did it take us half a year to release something? I mean we’re still a start-up after all.

Don’t get me wrong, Splunk 3.0 is fantastic. All kinds of amazing, ground breaking stuff. I’m running it on my OS X laptops and desktops to monitor ps, top, iostat, vmstat and it comes in very handy for figuring out why things crash by indexing everything in /var/log. It also now generates cool interactive reports and Flash graphs of who’s getting the most SPAM on my FC5 mail server running Sendmail and Dovecot IMAP front ended by my Ironport box. Look out mom I’m gonna charge you extra. Check out all the new Splunk 3.0 features and download your own free copy.